I took this very interesting list from Greg Isenberg ( https://x.com/gregisenberg/status/1956703650744578091?t=92GfqA1cXG6azEFXgxU-1A&s=19 ) and asked AI to analyze which predictions are less likely and which ones are practically already here.

Ranking of AI predictions that are already among us:

#1 AI girlfriends/boyfriends → Apps like Replika, Character.AI and similar are already making tens of millions. The “black market” in app store rankings confirms the trend. #2 Knowing when NOT to use AI → In consulting, art, education, and journalism, the “human touch” already sells at a higher price. #4 AI better than accountants/doctors in certain tasks → In taxes and image-based diagnosis, AI already outperforms the human average. #6 AI therapy → Replika, Woebot and others show surprising levels of engagement, especially thanks to 24/7 availability. #8 Local-first AI → On-device models like Gemini Nano, LLaMA optimized for mobile, or Copilot in Windows are already a reality. #9 Founders without coding skills → No-code platforms like Bubble, GPTs, and agents already make this possible. #21 AI killing the résumé → Companies are starting to evaluate digital portfolios and online footprints, using AI for screening. #33 Universal translation → Near real-time is already in Zoom, Teams, and Pixel. Not perfect, but usable. #34 Small businesses with AI → Shopify, Wix and others already integrate AI to compete better. #39 “We’ve always done it this way” → Industries like insurance, banking, and healthcare already see AI handling bureaucracy better than humans.

On the frontier (early, but still a long way to go):

#3 Agents hiring agents → Prototypes exist (AutoGPT, Devin), but reliability is lacking. #5 Reputation systems for agents → A “Moody’s for AI” doesn’t exist yet, but it’s logical it will emerge. #7 $100M company with zero human employees → Some indie hackers are getting closer, but no case at that scale yet. #11 Emails negotiating with each other → Intelligent inbox pilots exist, but not widespread. #13 Agents creating companies → Legal and regulatory barriers are the main obstacle. Could happen in crypto-friendly jurisdictions. #18 Chief AI Officer being an AI → Some companies are already placing AI on boards as experiments, but not at scale. #22 First AI agent canceled on social media → Probable and close, but no iconic case yet. #27 AI detecting AI at 99.9% accuracy → Detectors exist, but nowhere near that precision. #30 SaaS flipping with AI → Happens occasionally, but not mainstream yet. #35 Retirees becoming millionaires thanks to AI → Courses and packaged know-how exist, but not at large scale. #37 Double careers → Emerging, but autonomous management is still very limited.

More fantastical or harder to achieve:

#10 AI agent losing $20M due to manipulation by another agent (before 2026) → Possible, but seeing such a large, documented case so soon feels exaggerated. #12 End of the concept of “original work” → Authorship still matters legally and culturally. Total collapse will take much longer. #14 AI cloning Joe Rogan and him losing the lawsuit → Legally complex; unlikely he would lose such a case this soon. #15 Anti-AI movement bigger than pro-AI → Resistance exists, but surpassing global pro-AI sentiment is debatable. #16 Kids being AI-first, unemployable but dominating entrepreneurship → Possible, but requires an entire generation. #17 “Human-only” schools at $50k/year → Maybe, but that’s an elitist niche, hard to scale. #24 World tour of a dead celebrity with new AI music → Technically feasible (ABBA already did holograms), but grossing $500M with “new songs” is still more science fiction. #25 First universal AI-human language → A totally new language adopted worldwide is among the least likely. #26 AI agent committing insider trading spontaneously → Very sci-fi, though not impossible long term. #28 Biggest-ever data leak caused by a rogue agent → Feasible, but surpassing all historical leaks so soon sounds like a movie script. #29 End of passwords, captchas, and 2FA → They are on the way out, but their total disappearance will take much longer.