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42 sats \ 3 replies \ @OT 7 Aug \ on: Best future price models bitcoin
A 20% CAGR might be conservative enough to make plans for the future.
Is it realistic though? Other than starting from very specific tops, has that happened over a multi year period?
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I’ll start playing around with different scenarios. It does look like 20% is more plausible than I thought and CAGR has been steadily declining (as should be expected).
I think the cycles partly depend on our belief in them. If we stop expecting big drawdowns, then we might start seeing them again.
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