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One person's response to my thread was that mathematically we already know the encryption can be broken but there isn't a machine that can really do it yet. I can totally see that if that is the case that it is just a matter of time. The real question is how much time and I don't think we can know that as outsiders. Not really sure insiders know either.
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This has been an excellent balance to the Chaincode paper on quantum resistance (which was my other main touch point with the issue).
The points I found relevant from that paper are: