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Not yet, only one conditions (2) have been met, for this market to resolve we need both (1 and 2) the conditions to be met:
  1. A new political party is formally registered with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) in the United States during the 2025 calendar year.
  2. Elon Musk is publicly and credibly identified as the founder, co-founder, or principal organizer of the party — either through his own statements (including posts on X), or via attribution in at least two credible mainstream media sources (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, New York Times, CNN, Fox News).