pull down to refresh
0 sats \ 5 replies \ @carter 25 Jun \ on: Peter Zeihan Interview - China Collapse, America Rise, Ukraine & Russia Politics_And_Law
I love this dude... I need people to comment where his blind spots are because he seems pretty spot on to me most of the time
He's a former Stratfor employee who now is just selling his wares on the podcast circuit. I'm not saying that as a total insult to him, but you should take what he says with a grain of salt....he regularly gives "hot takes" that never really pan out like he said (but those spicy takes get lots of podcast views which helps pump his bags).
When he was the lead analyst at Stratfor, he was saying "China is collapsing within 3 years!" since around 2005. Every few years he seems to push the date back.
And yea, lets not even talk about his bold prediction (on Rogan no less) that Bitcoin was collapsing and going to zero.
reply
I feel similar apprehensions... I started questioning when he said some stuff about shipping that the "What's going on with Shipping" guy (also a great youtuber) pushed back a lot on his assessment. Do you care to hazard a guess at his accuracy? Is he like more like 80% right or 30% right?
reply
I will admit that I don't have an encyclopedic knowledge of his predictions / statements, I used to watch him more back around 2020 then I do now.
I do remember he predicted Russia would invade Ukraine. But I think that prediction was about 6-12 months before it happened....so maybe not earth shattering foresight, but technically right nonetheless.
Also he spoke about US Energy Independence which he was pretty much right on.
So maybe he is batting 0.500?
reply
it's the podcast/youtube equivalent of buying options that are out of the money then rollover continuously until they hit
reply