Ah, feels like forever since I last did an update. SN must be dead (and boring?)

Bet itself is getting more and more unexciting by the minute, that's for sure. The bet is sooo in the money: 0.29 for the 1.5m one, and 0.34 for the 1.4m one — hashtag mispricing (#1005689). The betting folk are coming around to my view, too, which is why the contracts trade at the prices they trade.

I'm not even the top No shareholder anymore, having taken some profits as the price has gone up (down). There are all manner of chances that @ek or @koob come up with some devilish plan to rug us No men, so I'm wary of my precious sats.

At some I'll just take my sats profits and go venture them somewhere elseAt some I'll just take my sats profits and go venture them somewhere else

Anyway, the shape of the graph is the saaaame. 2-week daily number is 891 — the second-lowest we've seen all year. For the year as a whole we've averaged 1,057 items, which is still a far cry from the 1,550 or so we need daily to hit the 1.4m mark. Relatively, we're the worst ever (at 67.90%).

Here's the most refreshing take, which may make me go risk some more sats: We need 1,974 a day for the rest of the year. That is: Even a successful ek-style insanity — which, if you remember, added roughly a 1,000 extra items a day for little over a week — EVERY WEEK for the rest of the year won't cut it.

The bet is over.

Gonna be the sweetest sats I ever made.

Some prev bet updates: #900000, #914289, #981289, #967744