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Actually... no, no it's not.
"Trump’s Tariffs Were Supposed to Boost the Dollar. Why the Opposite Happened." https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/trump-tariffs-us-dollar-217b3dc9
On Thursday, stocks tumbled in Asia and Europe, following Trump’s unveiling of a raft of punishing “Liberation Day” tariffs. Futures pointed to a negative U.S. market open.
What was more unexpected is that the U.S. dollar tumbled against most major currencies. The WSJ Dollar Index, an indicator based on a basket of currencies, has now lost more than 5% this year and is below where it was on Nov. 5, before its postelection rally.
This is making Wall Street analysts look pretty bad: Most were telling investors, even up to the very moment in which tariffs were announced Wednesday, that protectionist policies would push up the currency. The idea was that fewer purchases of overseas goods would narrow the trade deficit and mechanically reduce U.S. demand for foreign exchange. Also, U.S. growth is outpacing the eurozone’s, which has historically been dollar-positive.
Instead, speculators have swung to betting heavily against the greenback, Commodity Futures Trading Commission derivatives data shows.
The euro rallied more than 2% against the dollar on Thursday and was set for its best day in more than nine years as investors shunned the greenback after President Donald Trump announced harsher-than-expected tariffs on U.S. trading partners.
Investors also flocked to safe haven units such as the yen and Swiss franc as the dollar weakened to six-month lows against both those currencies.
The highly anticipated tariff announcement sent shockwaves through markets, with global stocks sinking and investors scrambling to the safety of bonds as well as gold.
Well, it kind of is but you're looking at the wrong thing:
Treasurys are the safe haven... and so investors are buying them like crazy right now, pushing the yield down a lot and thus, by interest rate parity, pushing USD down
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True.
My take away from the articles though... is that 'gold bonds the yen and franc' are considered the safe haven.
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Yen is not a safe haven
Which franc?
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28 sats \ 0 replies \ @optimism 21h
The Swiss one
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Excellent comment
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Bingo
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Trump has created economic chaos with tariffs, even devaluing his own currency. It's crazy to think that the yen and the Swiss franc are safe havens when they are fiat money and still suffer depression. The real safe havens against all this are Bitcoin and gold.
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10 sats \ 0 replies \ @grayruby 21h
Weakening the dollar and lowering long term bond yields is the whole point of the tariffs.
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It's hard to follow the consequences of human actions those days, but the numbers and tendencies are somewhat clear.
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Assets like gold and stocks are being re-patriated back into the US, which puts short-term stress on the dollar, the flow reduction of dollars out from tariffs hasn't begun yet... its once those dollar exports slow down that the dollar "milkshake" can crush other fiats
A few countries like Vietnam that have a big share of their economy based on US exports and high reciprocal tariffs are the real canary:
This all plays into the inevitability of a new Bretton Woods of sorts with Bitcoin and Stablecoins
My DXY calls are JUN-20 dated, going to be down to the wire...
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