🚀 Exciting News! PREDYX is now in beta! 🎉The future of prediction markets!🔮⚡️ \ stacker news ~lightning

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🚀 Exciting News! PREDYX is now in beta! 🎉The future of prediction markets!🔮⚡️

8833 sats \ 20k boost \ 85 comments \ @mega_dreamer 26 Sep lightning

🚀 Exciting News! PREDYX is now in beta! 🎉 Test out the future of prediction markets at: https://beta.predyx.com Make your predictions, earn sats, and explore micro markets with instant payouts via the LightningNetwork. 🔮⚡️beta.predyx.com

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230 sats \ 3 replies \ @conduition 29 Sep

Very nice work. Like some others have commented, I was unable to log in with lightning-supported browser extensions, so i had to use username/password. When I clicked on a market and tried to buy shares in an outcome, i received a small red popup which said "Prediction is not valid", and the market card was stuck in a "Please wait..." loading state. Trying again I got the same thing.

Bug reports aside, I'm obliged to remind viewers that this market is centralized. The Predyx operators seem to be the only entity who ultimately decides how to settle all predicted events, and deciding who gets paid. They also custody your money.

For now that's OK because there aren't many alternatives, but please be careful and be aware that decentralized options will exist in the future which let betters spread trust out among many oracles, without any custody risk.

100 sats \ 2 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 30 Sep

Hi @conduition,

Thanks for the detailed feedback and for bringing up dlctix! We appreciate the link and will definitely be exploring it further. It looks like a promising solution that aligns with where we want to take Predyx. We'll dive into it over the coming weeks, and I'll reach out if we have any questions.

Regarding your experience, could you provide more details on the browser and extension you were using? We’ve identified that using SSE (Server-Sent Events) for real-time data was a mistake due to inconsistent support across browsers. We're in the process of switching over to web-sockets, which should resolve these issues.

As for the custodial nature, I completely agree with your point. We opted for this setup to quickly launch an MVP, gauge interest, and validate the concept. Now that we've received positive feedback, we’re excited about moving toward Discreet Log Contracts (DLCs) for a more decentralized, trust-minimized approach. We're committed to making this transition as soon as possible.

Appreciate your patience and support!

121 sats \ 1 reply \ @conduition 3 Oct

@mega_dreamer is there anywhere I can contact you directly? I'd rather not broadcast details of my setup publicly

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 4 Oct

Yes sure, you can reach me on twitter: https://x.com/bitSanjay, if more privacy is needed, I can invite you to Predyx slack.

87 sats \ 9 replies \ @ek 27 Sep

Can you confirm if LNURL-auth works? My wallet just keeps waiting until it says "Network error". Tried with Phoenix and Alby and I obviously have internet access since I am writing this.

Maybe hug of death?

edit: Alby just returned 504 Gateway Timeout

25 sats \ 1 reply \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

I just tried LNURL-auth with Alby, it worked for me.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @ek 27 Sep

mhh, weird

11 sats \ 6 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

checking

100 sats \ 5 replies \ @ek 27 Sep

I also tried signup with credentials but the button doesn't get enabled.

When the second password field is wrong, it will say "passwords don't match" but I don't know why the first password field is red when they match.

8 sats \ 4 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

Its probably a bug, what browser are you using?

100 sats \ 3 replies \ @ek 27 Sep

I am using Brave on Linux. I see no errors in the console except regular GET https://beta.predyx.com/api/auth/me 401 (Unauthorized) but I assume they are unrelated. That's just how you check if someone is logged in (just like we do on SN).

21 sats \ 2 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

We haven't tested on Brave. That 401 is a way to telling you're not logged in. I will put this on my issue tracker list.

200 sats \ 1 reply \ @ek 27 Sep

I found the issue: my password was only alphanumeric but when I added a special character it worked.

So the bug is simply missing feedback about what kind of password is required.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

Yes, will add this to our issue tracker.

reply on another page

10 sats \ 2 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 2 Oct

Remember to enter your LNAddress for instant payments directly to your wallet! ⚡

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @tomlaies 10 Oct

I have done that now. The feature is quite hidden!

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 10 Oct

Awesome! and yes I agree, our UX needs much love. A lot of cool features are hidden. Rest be assured we're taking all the notes for improvements.

1000 sats \ 4 replies \ @BlokchainB 7 Oct

Hey hey! Got my account back! Thanks @mega_dreamer

284 sats \ 3 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 8 Oct

Glad to hear you’re back online! 🎉 Just a heads-up: some users might not see their shares in the historical orderbook, but they should show up under the 'Sell' tab for you to sell. If they’re not there, reach out to us at support @predyx.com.

And as a token of appreciation for being an early adopter, we’re zapping you with 1K sats! ⚡ Thanks for your support! 🙌

151 sats \ 1 reply \ @amaluenda 8 Oct

The "Assets" tab also shows the number of shares and average price per share which is very helpful. Thanks.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 8 Oct

Thanks for highlighting that.

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @BlokchainB 8 Oct

Thanks!! Glad I could help

100 sats \ 5 replies \ @BlokchainB 1 Oct

Hey @mega_dreamer I can’t login in. Help!!

100 sats \ 4 replies \ @emreguney 1 Oct

what is the issue? may i help?

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @BlokchainB 1 Oct

I entered my login info and pressed the sign in button and nothing is happening

0 sats \ 2 replies \ @BlokchainB 1 Oct

Trying to login and it’s not working

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @emreguney 1 Oct

yeah, i think you forgot your password. can you please give me your email or lnaddress, i'll send you new credentials.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 1 Oct

Hey @BlokchainB - Emre is looking into your login issue and will revert shortly.

100 sats \ 2 replies \ @bisdak 28 Sep

i would like to see a pwa version like pm

61 sats \ 1 reply \ @mega_dreamer OP 28 Sep

Absolutely, PWA is in our roadmap, I'm expecting it to be shipped latest by Q4 24 or early Q1 2025. Next would be native iOS and android apps.

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @bisdak 28 Sep

sounds great! lfg 🚀

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @Thereal 27 Sep

What do I need to join the network

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 28 Sep

You just need to visit and Sign-up: https://beta.predyx.com You will need a Bitcoin wallet with Lightning Network support to buy and sell shares.

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @Haiku7336 28 Sep

I am so glad this came out! Tried polymarket it the past, but was turned off by the USDC shitcoinery.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 28 Sep

Thank you!

263 sats \ 5 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 5 Oct

Important Update: Temporary Password Reset for Some Users

We wanted to inform you that, due to a false alarm triggered by our fraud prevention system, the passwords for some users who signed up with credentials (username/password) have been reset. If you're affected by this, please email us at support @predyx.com with your username, and we'll provide manual instructions to reset your password.

This is only a temporary issue. In the next day or two, we'll release the password reset feature, which will allow you to reset your password seamlessly by providing your email on your profile page.

As a precaution, we are temporarily disabling new sign-ups with credentials (username/password) until the password reset feature is available.

Please note, users who signed up using Lightning Wallet or Google are not affected by this.

We appreciate your understanding and patience as we resolve this.

27 sats \ 4 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 5 Oct

Hey @Undisciplined, can you please send email to support @predyx.com. Its seems your account was impacted.

80 sats \ 3 replies \ @Undisciplined 5 Oct

I'm still able to sign in with my Alby extension. I don't think I ever used the one I created with credentials.

It does look like all of my purchases have disappeared though. I don't really mind losing those sats, so don't worry about making me whole.

35 sats \ 2 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 6 Oct

We'll be able to recover all your purchases. Can you please confirm if your user_id with Alby login was "undisciplined"

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @Undisciplined 6 Oct

Yes, that should be the account with all of my purchases. I made a couple of other ones on accident, trying to sign in from another device.

21 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 7 Oct

Sure, we are working with other major issues, but once it becomes stable. I will look into recovering your shares. Thanks for you patience.

263 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 4 Oct

We’re back online! The early beta is live to help us test features and catch vulnerabilities. Reminder: Predict with small amounts, as there’s a risk of losing funds or shares due to the beta phase. 🛠️ If you spot any bugs and want to help, report them here: https://github.com/PREDYX/bug-tracker/issues Thanks for your support! 🙌

200 sats \ 1 reply \ @Jestopher_BTC 27 Sep

Massive congrats on getting this launched! It's no small feat to not only build it and launch it, but also to put your baby in front of other peoples' critical eyes!

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

Thanks for the kind words and supporting us in this journey Jesse!

200 sats \ 0 replies \ @0xbitcoiner 26 Sep

Predyx | Advanced Prediction Markets with Lightning Network Integration by @ek

100 sats \ 4 replies \ @fanis 27 Sep

Looks good, congrats on the launch!

FYI, I'm having issues signing up with LNURL, using Phoenix on a phone and PREDYX on a computer. I'm getting a 401 on the auth/me endpoint.

21 sats \ 3 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

Thanks for reporting! Yes we are experiencing some memory leaks on the server-side. We're working on fixing it! What browser and OS are you using? Similar issues have been reported few other users.

100 sats \ 2 replies \ @fanis 27 Sep

Browser is Zen (Firefox-based) running on MacOS.

0 sats \ 1 reply \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

Duly noted. We haven't tested out on Zen yet, but will test and add it to our issue-tracker list. We'll inform you once fixed. Also we are experiencing some intermittent memory leaks on the server-side which is really slowing things down for a lot of users. We were not prepared for so much load on the server :)

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @fanis 27 Sep

No worries, you always discover a myriad of bugs when you first open the thing to more people 😅Good that issues stem from too many users, that's a cool problem to have!

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @TheMorningStar 27 Sep

Super cool! Why is only Manchester City there for football fans?

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

Thank you! We will add more of sports this weekend. Please give us some suggestions on what other teams or sports market you'd like us to add. Please note that at this point of time we can only do binomial markets like "Will XYZ win this match" => YES/NO. Polynomial/Multiple Option market is coming soon!

100 sats \ 2 replies \ @BlokchainB 27 Sep

Placed a few bets. Def in beta but it’s fun!

32 sats \ 1 reply \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

Awesome! Give us some time, and we'll fix all the issues.

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @BlokchainB 27 Sep

Also please optimize for mobile

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @LowK3y19 27 Sep

Let’s gamble on that election!!! Whooo hoo

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @bisdak 27 Sep

LFG 🚀

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @OT 27 Sep

I think I found a bug with paying an invoice. The QR code works, but I'm unable to copy the LN invoice under it. It just says "copy invoice" but doesn't copy.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

Hey thanks for reporting! Duly noted. Will fix it as soon as any of the devs wake up.

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @b73dba08c0 27 Sep

Predyx en bêta ! Une super opportunité de gagner des sats instantanément via Lightning Network. Qui d'autre est impatient de tester ?

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @Signal312 26 Sep

Interesting! Why is everything that I see right at around 50% (between 49 and 51)?

54 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 26 Sep

Because its an early thinly traded market, we just launched. As more people bet with more sats, you'll see odds move up or down. Also since our markets have adequate liquidity, its difficult to move odds by just buying 100 shares.

100 sats \ 13 replies \ @south_korea_ln 26 Sep

Why do I get prediction is not valid error messages?

0 sats \ 12 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 26 Sep

On which market?

100 sats \ 11 replies \ @south_korea_ln 26 Sep

I tried Kamala flips a state and bitcoin above 60,000 on October 25

Isreal invading Lebanon worked though

0 sats \ 10 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 26 Sep

I just tried on Kamala flips a state and bitcoin above 60,000 on October 25. It worked for me. Can you refresh, logout/login again. We just pushed a new version with a minor fix.

100 sats \ 9 replies \ @south_korea_ln 27 Sep

I logged out and in again. I then tried again with Bitcoin above 60k. It fails with 300, 500 and 1000 shares, but it worked with 100 shares.

60 sats \ 8 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

Sorry, it's still a bug. Jesse from Amboss also reported that same. I'm unable to reproduce it on my side. But, we'll fix this. If its not too much to ask, can you please give details on browser, wallets, QR or WebLN (Alby). Just in case you don't want to share it here, I just created an issue tracker on GH: https://github.com/PREDYX/bug-tracker/issues

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @Haiku7336 28 Sep

bug

I am also getting a similar bug trying to bet no on US Elections for either Kamala or Trump will Win. Exact workflow:

click "bet no " on e.g. "Trump will win"
Change number of shares to 200
Click buy
I get on top the Toast "Prediction is not valid"
In addition I see in the console a bad request 400 error on the /api/predictions endpoint

When I try the same thing with the default value of 100 shares, it successfully shows me the lightning qr popup.

I am using Mullvad Browser.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 28 Sep

🙏Thank you for reporting, added it to the bug tracker list.

reply on another page

100 sats \ 5 replies \ @south_korea_ln 27 Sep

Google Chrome, Alby extension for login. I don't get presented with an invoice when this error occurs.

21 sats \ 4 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 27 Sep

We will test. We only tested Firefox with Alby.

view replies

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 3 Oct

UPDATE: We'll be back online tomorrow! As a small team, it's taken us a bit longer than expected—those last-minute surprises always seem to come up. We're also migrating our local database to a managed cluster for better high availability and fault tolerance, as we didn’t anticipate such high traffic during the beta release. It’s a great challenge to have, and we're making sure everything is scalable and stable for the future. Thanks for your patience!

0 sats \ 2 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 3 Oct

UPDATE: Our system maintenance is in progress, we discovered a major vulnerability and we're patching our system. we're expecting to be up in 6 - 8 hours. Thanks for your support and patience.

0 sats \ 1 reply \ @bisdak 3 Oct

👀

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 3 Oct

We apologize for the inconvenience. We're still working on restoring the system, and it's taking longer than expected. We're in the process of overhauling the buy workflow to enhance security and prevent self-arbitrage. Thank you for your patience!

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer OP 1 Oct

UPDATE: We're working on a password reset with email feature. Should be released in a day or two. Thank for your patience and sorry about all login issues.