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The reverse repo market witnessed a sharp decline, plummeting to $865 billion within a single day—a $65 billion drop and one of the most significant liquidity injections in reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) history.
As liquidity floods the markets, questions arise about the potential repercussions when the RRP liquidity pool eventually runs dry. The uncertainty looms large, prompting us to contemplate the necessity of additional quantitative easing (QE) measures to avert potential illiquidity in the second quarter of 2024.
Citibank fired 8k employees last week, banks starting to feel empty pockets.
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Bent just wrote about liquidity crunch with UBS. It appears cracks are forming. Scary stuff
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It needs a number of credit events to break them. But yes, they are brewing in the banking sector if You see unrealized losses. They need to inflate the bond market asap and to prevent real estate (both collaterals) from further declining.
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I can feel the vibes... but now I bitcoin
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We too I guess
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This'll be good for an ~econ sub, once we have it.
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Yes. And one thing: did anyone here notice that literally noone in the ''free'' media or independent ''science'' is writing about or investigating on hidden market opetations of the central banks? Wonder why...
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For those of us (me) too dumb to know what a reverse repo market is, i asked chat gpt and also to interpret the graph submitted by OP:
The reverse repo market involves financial institutions depositing cash with the Federal Reserve in exchange for Treasury securities, with an agreement to repurchase the securities at a later date. It's a tool used by the Fed to manage liquidity and control short-term interest rates.
This chart shows a significant increase in the use of overnight reverse repurchase agreements (reverse repos), where the value spiked then plummeted recently. The rising trend indicates that financial institutions had excess cash, likely due to the Fed's monetary policy measures, and they parked this cash with the Fed to earn some interest, as they may not have found better short-term investment opportunities.
The concerning aspect of such a chart would be the steep decline recently, which could signal a withdrawal of liquidity from the system or a shift in the cash management strategies of these institutions. This could be due to several factors, such as changes in monetary policy, increased demand for cash, or a shift in risk sentiment.
Such a rapid change suggests a possible tightening in liquidity conditions, which can impact the broader financial markets and the economy. It may also reflect changes in the expectations of interest rates or shifts in the economic outlook. If financial institutions are pulling cash out of reverse repos, it could indicate they are finding more attractive investment opportunities elsewhere or preparing for tighter monetary conditions.
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Sorry. I should have done that by myself. Thank You
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People who trumpet the impending "soft landing" fail to understand that the market didn't absorb the rate hikes without issue; countervailing forces like the reverse repo usage as seen in the chart above basically stealthily dripped liquidity in the market to take the edge off the unprecedented hiking pace.
In reality we've been in a largely sideways picture liquidity-wise and like OP mentioned it will be very interesting to see what happens if/when that facility gets fully tapped out.
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I think the soft landing narrative comes from the Biden campaign to push the polls a little bit. But yeah, it's far beyond reality
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"... in the second quarter of 2024"
You sure it's gonna take that long? Looks like a lot sooner to me.
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You could be right. But don't forget: central banksters are magicians. Maybe it'll happen in Q1 2032.... we're on life support since the GFC!
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Yea, good point. It's all centrally planned, so there's no way for us capital markets to organize and allocate efficiently. Never know what they're gonna do.
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Their sphere of influence diminshes the further You go out on the yield curve. The long end will kill thr commie money printer while the CBs are following the 2y us bond rate like a stupid little ugly dog
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Is that reverse repo or the SPR. Haha
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It's the inverse SPR
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