Also see siggy's post #1454512
- UK/EU not supportive
- Russia/China not supportive
- Iran using cheap drones vs US expensive missiles = war of attrition
- Any impact on oil price will put pressure on Trump to back down
- Trump's ego prevents him from capitulation
- Tourism industry in UAE in tatters, pressure will build to stop the war
- Boots on the ground not supported by US population
- Money printer go brrr
- Vietnam style retreat looks possible
Or am I suffering from TDS?
The question to me is what are the off ramps at this point?
Iran opens Hormuz if Trump and Bibi ceasefire
Trump holds press conference and declares the US won 🤣🤣🤣
why would Iran, who is fighting for its existence, reopen Hormuz, when keeping it closed is their most effective weapon against the US?
Political leverage, Iran can show the world it's trying to deescalate and make US look like the aggressor
Militarily, Iran knows that trump's ego won't back down and the US military might is greater than their's , So opening would prevent total warfare erupting
Even though it looks like the US is in a tricky spot, the Iranians are also eyeing up the fallout
It comes down to who blinks first
Iran doesn't need to make the US look like the aggressor, US is the aggressor, Rubio has admitted it already, and everyone knows it too.
Iran has been emphatic about that this war will only end on their terms. Do not forget the asymmetric nature of this war, and also, bombing alone does not win wars.
The US are indeed in a very tricky spot. They are depleting their very expensive stockpile, they cannot protect the countries hosting their bases, and Trump will suffer greatly from the oil prices.
I'm personally rooting for a US defeat, political and/or military.
There's your view and JS' view, I'm observing from a neutral way, in that egotistically Trump potentially maybe being blackmailed by you know who to go into Iran because certain files might contain something
And now he's gotta ante up because the world is watching 👀
Politically I'm a ballot spoiler, I always go to the ballot box but all politicians are compromised imo
yah I think that would be the best option at this point
I am just note sure if Iran is able or willing to do that
These are tells that it's a positive for the US
US also using drones, piloting Anduril stuff and upgraded versions of Iran's own drones
Attrition favors the side that hasn't had 90% of its shit destroyed already
The proxy regime in Iran literally exists to hold oil hostage, rescuing the hostage ultimately lowers the risk premium
TDS take
Will be healthier long term with threat neutralized
Not going to happen in any meaningful numbers, a few helos of t1 operators at best like venzeula
This is terrible for globalists who'd prefer a quagmire and why they can't stop crying about regime change from the air
Maritime insurance being on-shored away from London, Petrodollar supremacy, ordnance costs is barely a rounding error
Retreat from what?
That or you still read too much globoslop fake news and buy it hook line and sinker
Classic JS 👏👏 good points
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ugh, the blue light on the table triggers me; 😝