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Hey Stackers,

We’ve been building Predyx, a Lightning-native prediction market where markets are priced and settled directly in sats.

The idea is simple: prediction markets should work like the rest of Bitcoin - open, global, and programmable - with Lightning handling the payments layer.

A few design choices behind Predyx:
• Markets priced in sats (1 share = 1 sat payout if correct)
• Lightning pay-per-trade model (no deposits)
• LMSR market maker for automated pricing
• CDA (Continuous Double Auction) market engine in development
• UMA-style oracle system for market resolution in development
• Separate wallets per market to reduce custody risk
• Anyone can create markets and provide liquidity

The goal is to make micro prediction markets possible - things that only work when transactions are instant and extremely small.

Examples of markets currently running:
• Bitcoin price markets
• sports markets
• political outcomes
• tech and macro events

The beta is live and running, but the next stage requires capital and strategic help to scale:
• deeper liquidity across markets
• infrastructure scaling
• Lightning liquidity and integrations
• growth and distribution
• legal and regulatory work for U.S. compliance (CFTC)

If you’re a builder, Lightning node operator, or investor interested in Bitcoin-native financial infrastructure, I’d be interested in talking.

Happy to answer any technical questions here.

cc @grayruby @BlokchainB

On that last bullet point, is there a reason you have to be US compliant? Can't you jurisdiction shop for the place that allows you to build the best product?

Anyone who's using a lightning-native prediction market will know how to find you wherever.

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62 sats \ 0 replies \ @itsTomekK 4h

Exactly, Prospera is waiting for such usecase

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I'm ready for the pitch deck sir

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103 sats \ 1 reply \ @joemphilips 10h

I’ve retweeted it here.
https://x.com/joemphilips/status/2031639977105437074?s=46&t=PnHcxeDKW9XkaCqAji8BKQ

I’m just a developer myself, so I can’t help much on the financial side, though.

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Thanks a lot @joemphilips.

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How much funding are you looking for? Are you looking for dollars denominated funding or bitcoin denominated? Are you offering equity?

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If you have not be sustainable until now, how you do expect to be profitable in the future?

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Good luck!

Few typical questions:

  • What's the business model, trading fees?
  • What's the traction so far
  • What stage are you raising and how much?
  • Are you building a protocol or a company?
  • What's the plan to combat liquidity fragmentation?
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2 sats \ 0 replies \ @BITC0IN 6h

brad mills would probably throw some sats at you, zucco too. pinged them https://x.com/BITCOINALLCAPS/status/2031695686920495347?s=20

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Any luck raising funds with VCs?

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13 sats \ 0 replies \ @DarthCoin 10h -51 sats

https://i.postimg.cc/P5svWyyK/no-soup-for-you-soup.gif

YOU ARE DISGRACE FOR BITCOIN