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For what it's worth, I know you will never capitulate, Darth. But the Lord broke the mold when he made you. Most are made of weaker stuff.
It will be the straw that breaks the camel's back for many. The FUD, etc, expense associated. Many will choose to cash out and sell their stack to Saylor et al, imo
I believe we will have a CRQC by 2035. I also believe Bitcoin will upgrade before then and be just fine. But, in the process, we will see the cycling of Bitcoin ownership from individuals to institutions accelerate. That is the true point of my (admittedly probably poorly written and meandering ) post.
Fair points. Re-reading my post, calling these (and WBD) as "giants in Bitcoin" was silly. Anyway, I would say my education in Bitcoin really is more about studying history and studying humans. The stuff Saylor was trying to explain to Danny at the end of that recent pod. 1971 was not particularly special or unique. The history of debt and debasement and monetary reset is the history of humanity.
Respectfully disagree. Nothing more human than fiat. As long as we have human governance we will always have fiat, imo.
Makes sense. I actually have found Maple really useful doing regular normie queries so haven't encountered any other censorship stuff since. Might give the jail break stuff a try if I'm bored one weekend.
Ok, after noodling on this for some time I can see the value of Maple. I think it works well as a kind of private councilor. You can set up different chats where you prompt the AI to have different personalities, allowing you to get feedback from several different perspectives. And everything is private so you can discuss your innermost thoughts to your heart's desire.
Now, I still think it would be great if the censorship was toned down. It would be great to have one chat that was mainstream/ woke, one that was a "conspiracy theorist", one that was a classic 90s liberal, one based, and bounce ideas of all of them to get a multi perspective view on an issue. Right now the "conspiracy theorist" is not allowed, at least for several controversial subjects. And it feels off brand, because if these chats are private why the need to keep talking points PC? Although, I get the founders don't want to be liable for their product (being blamed for) "radicalizing" someone who goes on to commit some kind of crime as a result. Which I guess is a legitimate concern.
Thanks. I get that. If their model wasn't so censored then it would be a great trade off for people without the time/skills/resources to set up a model locally. But with the censorship it feels like you are paying the same to get a hobbled ChatGPT (albeit with some privacy advantages)
Thanks. I just don't get why they've set their censorship level to mid 40s Progressive Portland Wine Aunt. Seems like a missed opportunity.
I did it ages back when the boom first started and the Facebook weights were "leaked" or whatever. I downloaded a 7gb file and used some CLI tool to interact with it. It was completely uncensored and very funny to make it say controversial things. But for me personally I want access via a service I can pay in corn for. So ppq ai is great and if there was a way to use an uncucked open model with Maple then that would be great too.
Thank you for the thoughtful response. I will think over what you wrote for a while. I suspect that the US saw China as Japan 2.0 when they allowed them in the WTO or whatever Nixon did. I.e. produce cheap goods for the US market to help keep a lid on inflation back home knowing China would have no choice but to cycle their surplus back into USTs anyway so effectively a vassal state paying tribute via the petrodollar system. And that's because of the deal with the Saudis of course and anyone who wants energy needs to pay in dollars, and I strongly suspect a nuclear armed Israel in the region strongly helps with keeping the Saudis honest in keeping up their end of the bargain. And, yes. I get Jewish control of the USG and international finance. So Israeli interests benefit from the "security arrangement" part of the petrodollar deal but also at the money laundering stage as Saudi billionaire princes manage their fortunes through London and New York. So that's a lot of incentives for a lot of powerful and influential interests to maintain the status quo.
At the same time I hear your point about China doing a good job to maintain its sovereignty. It's certainly done that with tech and done a great job to protect its own domestic players and keep the US Big Tech firms/ CIA out of running their psyops in China. Japan, in contrast, has globohomo and other US propaganda pumped through Twitter/Instagram/Facebook/YouTube to their citizenry 24/7.
But, it's all about the currency, right? That and energy security. I get that China is aligned with Iran and Russia and as those two are energy exporters there is a shot there to create an alternative energy/currency network. But, again, back to the US armed forced and Israel and bombing of Iran, the Ukraine war, etc., and we can see that the US and Israel are not going to allow other mobs to freely trade energy (in currencies other than the USD) in areas their missiles can reach (i.e. anywhere).
And, yes, I do think stablecoins are a huge factor here. The world wants digital dollars, that much is clear now. Embracing Tether is a really smart move. UST could dollarize the entire globe bottom up as everyone with a smart phone from the Manilla to Buenos Aires has their life savings in dollars in a wallet that can't be surveiled or seized (without the cooperation of the US regime). And, sure, they take a 10% haircut YoY through debasement but they don't know that and anyway it beats whatever local fiat shitcoin they would otherwise have to use. (Or worse, I read that Turks "save" by buying white goods i.e. refrigerators). I think stablecoins could indirectly fund (via exporting inflation to 8 billion people) the US empire for another 100 years.
But, there are a lot of potential surprises too. 1000 dollars of drone swarms blowing up billion USD carriers, for example. That is why the Ukraine conflict is such a big deal. It's the major powers experimenting with all of the new tech.
We are certainly living in "interesting times". It's why I like your posts. You seem very aware of what's at stake here.
But as for taking down the US/Israel... Let's just say I certainly don't have the heart for that fight. Do the Chinese really know what they're getting into? As they say, if you go at the king, you'd best not miss....
I find your posts illuminating and think you make many good points. But can I play Devil's Advocate and challenge you on two points? 1: Isn't China also failing to reproduce and facing demographic issues? 2: Isn't China essentially Japan 2.0? And look at what happened to Japan. Turned out they were working as slaves making cars and radios for entitled Americans just so they could earn dollars and buy treasuries which were unilaterally debased via monetary inflation. The life force of that one great nation has been slowly drained by the vampire squid dollar hegemony empire to the extent they are now prostituting themselves to tourists to make ends meet. How does China avoid the same fate?
I suppose it can be argued China woke up to the scam after the GFC and hence them moving to buying gold from that time. But what if China is repeating the mistake of the past of choosing the wrong collateral? As I understand from Saif's The Bitcoin Standard one of the reasons for China's fall was them choosing to stick with silver while the west moved to gold for reserves. What if that mistake is now being repeated by choosing gold over Bitcoin?
I ask these questions out of genuine curiosity. I'm open to the idea of China challenging the US but the fact is the US regime loves to have a boogie man (Germany, Russia, Japan, now China) which it likes to project on and accuse of all the things it does itself. But these boogiemen often turn out to be nothing but bums lined up to be knocked out by the great heavyweight champion the United States of America.
Also, one other thing I'd be interested to hear your take on: do you think the Israel alliance helps or hinders the US as it pertains to containing China? And by that I mean Israel is a formidable country with a population I would argue doesn't suffer the same entitlement and naivety as the US population. They are street fighters and are playing for keeps. That whole exploding pager thing showed that well enough. Does China going against US interests mean making an enemy out of Israel? Or will Israel just work with both China and the US, aligning themselves more with the eventual winner? Them being a nuclear power in the middle east and having the ties they do to Washington makes me think the Chinese need to address the Israel issue if they are ever seriously going to challenge the Petro dollar.
I'm sure conservative men will be devastated to hear that 30 year old progressive women "working" in "social media" don't want to date them
What if we get AGI/ASI in the next 5 years?